Friday, March 26, 2010

TEAM EVALUATIONS: FURS

Team: Furs
Conference: Liberty
Division: Northeast
2009 Record: 69-93, 5th Place

Typical Lineup:
1B Nick Swisher/Daric Barton
2B Clint Barmes
SS Marco Scutaro/Jose Reyes
3B Pedro Feliz

LF Carlos Lee
CF Franklin Gutierrez/Cody Ross
RF Juan Rivera/Jay Bruce

C Rod Barajas/Omir Santos

DH Travis Hafner/Rickie Weeks

They have two of the best fielding CF in the league, but they both can't play at the same time.  Feliz is a gaping hole offensively at 3B, and Swisher is out of position at 1B.  Barmes is a decent defender at 2B, but he didn't hit much.  Scutaro is a little better at SS.  Lee and Rivera should hit well, but they are liabilities in the field.  The DH and C positions aren't very strong offensively relative to the rest of the league.  As a whole, the lineup has possibilities, but is maybe only average or slightly below, with an uneven defense.

Starting Rotation:

Adam Wainwright
Ubaldo Jimenez
Barry Zito
Trevor Cahill
Carl Pavano

The rotation starts out very strong with a couple of genuine aces, but then peters out at the end.  Wainwright and Jimenez should win a ton of games and keep the Furs above water.  Cahill and Pavano will be trying to sink them every fifth day, though.

Bullpen:

Alfredo Aceves
Phil Coke
Lance Cormier
Jeff Fulchino
Fernando Rodney

Not bad.  Aceves, Fulchino and Cormier will do the bulk of the setting up, and Rodney can also close.

Closer:

Bobby Jenks

The big man is still pretty effective.

Minors:

Carlos Carrasco
Freddie Freeman
Austin Jackson
Mike Leake
Josh Vitters

Either Freeman or Vitters should solve the 1B problem pretty soon, and Jackson is yet another fleet-footed CF that could be used as trade bait.  Leake will probably start as a rookie for the Reds coming out of Spring Training in 2010, and Carrasco looks ready to step into an important role in the Indians rotation.  It's a small but talented collection that fills some needs.

The Furs look very much improved from 2009, and should be in the mix for a playoff spot behind OshKosh in the competitive Liberty Northeast.  I think they will battle the Senators to the wire, and possibly lose out at the end, mostly because of the relatively weak offense.

Predicted Record: 88-74

MILLER LOW LIFE

It's official.  Andrew Miller was shipped out to the New Orleans Zephyrs, having booted away whatever slim chance he had to make the Marlins starting rotation.  This may be the last we see of Andrew, yet another casualty in my long quest for decent starting pitching.

On a better note, Kenshin Kawakami and Mark Buehrle both had strong starts.  Kawakami worked six shutout innings, while Buehrle allowed no earned runs in five innings.  Luke Gregerson picked up a save in that same game, and Nick Masset worked a scoreless inning in Tuscon.

Hunter Pence had a double among his three hits against the Phillies for the only offensive highlight for the Slingers on Thursday.  Russell Martin caught four innings in a AA game, and it looks like he should have no trouble making it back in time for Opening Day.

Thursday, March 25, 2010

TEAM EVALUATIONS: MAMMOTHS

Team: Mammoths
Conference: Patriot
Division: West
2009 Record: 117-45, 1st Place

Typical Lineup:

1B Albert Pujols
2B Dustin Pedroia
SS Stephen Drew
3B Alex Gordon/Scott Rolen

LF Corey Hart/Matt Diaz
CF Vernon Wells
RF J.D. Drew/Seth Smith

C Joe Mauer

DH Jason Kubel/Carlos Pena

Un-freaking-believable.  You have to credit the owner for amassing this wealth of talent.  Absolute studs everywhere you look.  Pujols, Mauer, Pedroia, all MVP's.  Makes you want to gouge your eyes out in jealousy.  Even the backups are better than my guys.

Starting Rotation:

Zack Greinke
Tim Lincecum
Yovani Gallardo
Matt Garza
Rich Harden

BOTH Cy Young winners!  It just keeps getting worse for us opponents.  Rich Harden is his FIFTH starter!  I would kill for Rich Harden.

Bullpen:

Grant Balfour
Brian Wilson
Sergio Romo
Matt Thornton

Gah!  Eyes almost out completely now!

Closer:

Jonathan Broxton/Heath Bell

All gone now.  Typing by feel only.

Minors:

Kenny Diekroeger
Jeff Francis
Anthony Rendon

As if he needs any more talent.

The Mammoths will subdue, crush and destroy this league.  The only possible obstacle will be the Chuggers, who can't quite match up to all the ways the Mammoths can beat you.  Then it will be an easy romp to the World Series title over the Liberty Conference winner.

Predicted Record: 125-37

K-ROD K'S THEM ALL

Brian Matusz was merely average yesterday, allowing nine hits and three earned runs in six innings against the Cardinals.  I'll take it.  Francisco Rodriguez must have unleashed the slider a few times as he struck out all three Astros he faced.

Bobby Abreu had a double and a single and Carlos Quentin and Kosuke Fukudome had three singles each in separate games in Arizona.  There were a whole lot of oh-fers other than that.  Adrian Gonzalez got a rare single this spring.  Come on, Red Sox, make the trade so that Adrian will stop pouting.


Wednesday, March 24, 2010

TEAM EVALUATIONS: LAKERS

Team: Lakers
Conference: Liberty
Division: Northeast
2009 Record: 70-92, 4th Place (as Bobcats)

Typical Lineup:

1B Paul Konerko
2B Orlando Hudson
SS Miguel Tejeda
3B Adrian Beltre

LF Garrett Jones/Nolan Reimold
CF Nolan Reimold/Ryan Raburn
RF Jayson Werth

DH Vladimir Guerrero/Nick Johnson

C A.J. Pierzynski/Josh Bard

Only Werth (and Garrett Jones in a more limited role) had a truly outstanding season among this group.  Even so, it adds up to a workable lineup.  There are a couple of 1's in the infield with Hudson and Beltre, but the rest of the defense is lacking, and there is no true centerfielder.  This was a great team about three years ago, but a lot of these guys are long in the tooth and on the decline.

Starting Rotation:

Chad Billingsley
John Garland
Randy Wells
Ross Ohlendorf
Derek Lowe

The rotation was boosted with 2010 draft picks Wells and Ohlendorf, but only to closer to average rather than good.  Derek Lowe is a dead weight at the back end.

Bullpen:

Matt Guerrier
Trevor Hoffman
Octavio Dotel
James MacDonald
Trever Miller
George Sherrill

A big strength for the team, especially Hoffman, Guerrier and Sherrill.  Miller makes a terrific LOOGY.

Closer:

Joe Nathan

One of the game's best, Nathan should protect most of the Lakers leads.  It was unfortunate that he had to get Tommy John surgery this spring, but the team has some other options with Hoffman and Sherrill.

Minors:

Michael Burgess
Jose Iglesias
Shelby Miller
Jared Mitchell
Wilson Ramos
Ben Revere
Carlos Santana
Jordan Walden
Drew Storen

Plenty of blue-chip talent here.  Santana should solve the catching problems, and Jose Iglesias may be ready at SS very soon after the Red Sox threw $6 million at him.  The rest are top prospects with good potential that should help the aging lineup get younger very soon.

The Lakers great bullpen will probably not be enough to completely counteract the middling offense and starting pitching, at least not for a playoff spot, but I think they will improve over 2009.  They have the 10th best WHIP and 10th best OPS in the league, which points to an average season.  I'm thinking the relievers will account for a few extra wins, though, to get them into the positive category.

Predicted Record: 83-79

TORRES, TORRES, TORRES!

Andres Torres continued his amazing run of extra-base hits with a double and a triple off former Flash/Gunslinger Gavin Floyd of the White Sox.  Alexei Ramirez had two hits in the same game.

None of my starters pitched again on Tuesday, and only Ramon S. Ramirez got in from the bullpen, allowing one run in an inning and a third.

There was a Mike Trout sighting out in Arizona, but he didn't get an AB.  It was a road game for the Angels, so they probably packed the bus with all kinds of youngsters.  Mike is still 1-for-1 this spring with a triple.


Tuesday, March 23, 2010

TEAM EVALUATIONS: BOMBERS

Team: Bombers
Conference: Liberty
Division: North
2009 Record: 59-103, 4th Place

Typical Lineup:

1B Prince Fielder
2B Brandon Phillips
SS Edgar Renteria/Brendan Ryan
3B Joe Crede/Jack Hannahan

LF Ben Francisco/Willie Harris/Angel Pagan
CF Nyjer Morgan/Angel Pagan
RF Michael Cuddyer

DH Russell Branyan/Ben Francisco

C Jason Varitek/Carlos Ruiz

The lineup isn't that bad for a team that won only 59 games last year.  Cuddyer and Morgan were big additions in the 2010 draft.  Fielder and Phillips make a formidable right side of the infield on offense, anyway, with Phillips also being a plus defender.  Ruiz and Varitek are a strong defensive catching tandem.  The left side of the infield is a mess on offense, but they should save some runs defensively.  Left field looks like a black hole, but Pagan will help there a bit.  Branyan bounced back for a nice year in 2009 and will add some pop at DH.

Starting Rotation:

Kevin Correia
Joe Saunders
Jeremy Guthrie
Andrew Sonnanstine/Matt Palmer
Mark Hendrickson/Robinson Tejeda/Chris Narveson/Carlos Villanueva

Truly awful, especially considering that Correia, a slightly better than league average guy, was a 2010 draft pick.  This rotation will prevent the Bombers from improving much over last year's team, despite the better offense and solid all-around defense.

Bullpen:

Scott Downs
Kevin Gregg
Chris Sampson
Chris Smth

Downs isn't bad, but the rest are punching bags and will not help matters.

Closer:

Ryan Franklin

Franklin is great.  Too bad he won't have much to do this season.

Minors:

Jim Edmonds
Matt Moore
Jacob Odorizzi

The decision to hang on to the 40-year-old Edmonds was questionable, but Moore and Odorizzi look like future stars, albeit a few years away.  This team could use some good young pitching.  The Bombers were probably better served by drafting for the future rather than grabbing Cuddyer, Morgan, and Correia, but we'll see how things play out.

If the Bombers had any decent pitching, aside from their excellent closer, I would expect a big jump in wins, but the pitching is terrible and will hold this club back.

Predicted Record: 64-98

OH FOR GRAPEFRUIT

It was a pretty miserable day for the Slingers in Florida, with none of my hitters there managing a safety.  Chris Snyder went 3-for-3 in Arizona, but the rest all cratered in the desert, too.  Luke Gregerson finally re-appeared and pitched a scoreless inning with one strikeout.  I'm in one one of those cycles where all my pitchers appear within a day of each other, and the other days are completely devoid of stats.

Another team evaluation will follow.


Monday, March 22, 2010

TEAM EVALUATIONS: HOBOS

Team: Hobos
Conference: Patriot
Division: Central
2009 Record: 110-52, 1st Place

Typical Lineup:

1B Lance Berkman
2B Jeff Keppinger/Howie Kendrick/Asdrubal Cabrera
SS Asdrubal Cabrera/Rafael Furcal
3B Chase Headley

LF Nelson Cruz/Alfonso Soriano
CF Chris Young
RF Andre Ethier/Milton Bradley

DH Milton Bradley/Alfonso Soriano/Nelson Cruz/Jesus Flores

C Mike Napoli/Landon Powell/Jesus Flores

The Hobos lineup is a patchwork that isn't as great as the parts looks to be, at least not this season.  Berkman pretty much continued to rake, but Soriano, Young, and Bradley didn't contribute much.  Cruz and Ethier make nice corner outfielders.  Cabrera was slightly better with the bat this year at SS, but Furcal will probably bounce back in 2010.  Napoli is a good power-hitting catcher, but his defensive skills are poor.  Flores will give the Hobos 95 good AB's.

Starting Rotation:

C.C. Sabathia
John Lackey
James Shields
Rick Porcello
Ian Snell
Erik Bedard/Daisuke Matsuzaka

This is a better rotation than WHIP and ERA show, and it's not bad even then.  Shields and Porcello are merely slightly above league average at this point, but will improve, and Snell is worse than that.  The others (aside from Dice-K) are terrific and are the aces of their respective staffs.  Bedard's 15 starts will come in very handy.

Bullpen:

Ronald Belisario
Evan Meek
David Robertson
Kerry Wood

Nothing special here, except for Belisario's ability to negate righties.

Closer:

Brian Fuentes

Fuentes is a weak closer who should struggle in this league.  Wood can step in to take off some of the heat, but he isn't much better.

Minors:

Dustin Ackley
James Darnell
Yu Darvish
Desmond Jennings
Ethan Martin
Anthony Ranaudo
Jameson Taillon

A decent collection of talent, with Jennings the only one fairly close to making the major league roster.  The others are pretty far away, and Darvish may never play an inning in the US while enjoying a superstar career in Japan.  Ranaudo and Taillon haven't even been drafted yet, but should have at least a reasonable shot at stardom in three to four years.

The Hobos are in my division, and I was ready to relegate them further down when I saw their overall stats, but the starting pitching looks like that of a contender, and they should be right in the mix if not on top.  Fuentes may cause some problems with end game situations, and the offense looks spotty, but I think they should do well.  Nothing like the 110 wins of last year, but 90 wins appears within reach.

Predicted Record: 92-70

SPRING STATS, PART III


The hitting isn't bad, with an .830 OPS.  The BA is dropping fast, but we're still getting on base and hitting our share of extra-base hits.  Only Hunter Pence, Miguel Cabrera, and Aaron Hill are having strong springs.  Bobby Abreu and Adrian Gonzalez are having an awful time of it.

The pitching is still lousy, but better than last week.  Pretty much everybody improved except Andrew Miller, who appears to have no shot at the fifth spot in the Marlins rotation.  I have six guys who should start the season in someone's rotation, although Jamie Moyer might lose out to Kyle Kendrick.  I'm not sure why Luke Gregerson didn't pitch all week.  There is no news on the wire anywhere saying he was hurt.

SUNDAY HAPPY SUNDAY

What a day for the Gunslingers starting pitching!  Oh, yeah, and that health care thingy, that happened too.

Jamie "Closest In The Majors To Medicare" Moyer faced off against Kevin Millwood, and they both looked pretty sharp.  Moyer struck out six, walked none, and allowed only one earned run in five innings.  Millwood had a nearly identical line, allowing three walks in addition to one earned run and six K's in five innings.  Millwood also gave up a homer to Delta president Paul "Robert" Hoover (who became a public defender in Baltimore...maybe Millwood needs some pro bono work).

Elsewhere, a line of thunder-sunshine moved through Florida, washing out a bunch of games.  Jose Mijares managed an inning of scoreless relief, and Ramon S. Ramirez came in and mopped up after Jonathan Papelbon's six-run meltdown against the Astros by retiring the final two batters of the innings.  Absolutely nothing of note happened for the Gunslingers out in Arizona.

I'll publish a statistical roundup later today and another team evaluation.  And you better come through, Harry Reid.