Wednesday, March 31, 2010

TEAM EVALUATIONS: QUAKES

Team: Quakes
Conference: Patriot
Division: West
2009 Record: 67-95, 3rd Place

Typical Lineup:

1B Daniel Murphy
2B Macier Izturis/Delwyn Young
SS Yunel Escobar
3B Aramis Ramirez/Josh Fields

LF Raul Ibanez
CF Willy Taveras/Scott Podsednick
RF Garrett Anderson

C Ramon Hernandez/Nick Hundley/Chris Coste

DH Magglio Ordonez/Mike Jacobs/Jim Thome

That's a really poor lineup, especially with Taveras, Podsednick and Anderson putting the "out" in outfield.  Escobar, Ibanez and Ramirez in a limited role will be helpful, but the rest are below par.

Starting Rotation:

Ted Lilly
Justin Verlander
Ryan Dempster
A.J. Burnett
Hiroki Kuroda/Clayton Richard

Not bad at all.  In fact, quite good.  Lilly, Dempster, and Verlander are a quality trio, and the rest will fill in with average to above-average innings.

Bullpen:

Chad Durbin
Mark Lowe
Edward Mujica
Joe Smith
John Rauch

Not anything special, but not a mess by any means.  They should keep the Quakes in the game most of the time.

Closer:

LaTroy Hawkins

Hawkins had a great year last year, but didn't actually close a lot of games for the Astros, so that will limit his effectiveness in this role in Strat.  He should be decent at worst, though.

Minors:

None

Not a good sign.  Ian Desmond will be a rookie at SS this year for the Nationals, but this is one position the Quakes don't really need, as young and talented as Escobar is.

It will be a long, tough year for the Quakes as they navigate the same division as the Chuggers and Mammoths.  With that starting pitching, I expect they will do decently outside the division, but may lose 90% of their games against the beasts of the Patriot West with such a weak lineup.

Predicted Record: 77-85

START THE SEASON ALREADY!

It was a pretty auspicious day in Gunslingers-land.  First, Miguel Cabrera slugged a couple of homers off a guy I almost drafted but didn't, Brad Bergeson.  Then Mark Buehrle and Ben Sheets faced each other and gave up only one run between them in 10 and one-third innings (although Sheets walked five).  Carlos Quentin homered in that game, and it wasn't off Sheets, amazingly.  Aaron Hill  also homered yesterday.  Finally, Jamie Moyer was named to the fifth starter spot for the Phillies, which means I will have six active starting pitchers as of Opening Day (with Buehrle and Kevin Millwood actually starting on Opening Day).  Let's get this party started!  Until the inevitable collapse, anyway.

I've determined that I will be going way over in assigning win totals in my team evaluations, and I went back and re-figured it.  I didn't bother to update the posts, because if anybody from the league reads them, I usually overestimated the wins and made the team look better than they probably are. I left myself with about 65 wins even after I re-figured everything, which might be depressingly accurate.

Tuesday, March 30, 2010

TEAM EVALUATIONS: SAWYERS

Team: Sawyers
Conference: Liberty
Division: Northeast
2009 Record: 89-73, 2nd Place

Typical Lineup:

1B Justin Morneau
2B Brian Roberts
SS Troy Tulowitzki
3B Andy LaRoche

LF Jason Bay
CF Jacoby Ellsbury
RF Ben Zobrist

C Geovany Soto/Kelly Shoppach/Gregg Zaun

DH Ryan Howard/Denard Span/Ryan Church

Truly awesome.  All-Stars everywhere, with Morneau, Tulowitzki, Howard, Bay, and the versatile Zobrist.  The defense is equally outstanding, with hardly a weak link anywhere.  About the only criticism is 3B, where LaRoche is a bit of an out machine, although he does provides good defense.  Also, Soto had an off year, and his backups aren't that great either.

Starting Rotation:

Javier Vazquez
Dan Haren
Jon Lester
Gavin Floyd
Jorge De La Rosa

The top three are about as good as any top three in our league, and Floyd and De La Rosa are no worse than average.  The Sawyers will have a lot of games wrapped up after seven innings with this offense and this staff.

Bullpen:

Rafael Betancourt
Carlos Marmol
Peter Moylan
Eric O'Flaherty
Huston Street

Marmol and Moylan are only maybe a little better than average, but O'Flaherty, Betancourt, and either Street or Papelbon for the 8th inning should be sufficient to get the Sawyers to the closer.

Closer:

Jonathan Papelbon

One of the game's best.  Street could just as easily do the honors, which should help with some playoff matchups.

Minors:

Jake Arrieta
Lonnie Chisenhall
Hank Conger
Casey Kelly
Dustin McGowan
Mike Stanton

The Sawyers have methodically built a powerhouse team since joining the league, improving every year, and this crop of minor leaguers shows no slowdown to that process.  Stanton will be a fixture in the outfield for years, and Arrieta, Kelly, and McGowan should contribute solid innings in the near future.  Conger is close to being ready to bolster the catching position, and Chisenhall will hope to supplant LaRoche at 3B soon.

This club is poised to take it up one more notch and capture the Liberty Northeast crown from a declining Coruscant team.  I don't see any superior teams in their way from the rest of the conference, so look for them to meet the survivor of the Mammoths/Chuggers series in the USSP World Series.  They should compete well there, but fall a bit short.

Predicted Record: 99-63

TROUT MAKES AN OUT

Jonathan Sanchez continued his bipolar act, swinging to the good side with an 11 K outing against the Brewers in six innings.  The next opponent gets bad Jonathan, which will be a regular season game, if my luck holds up.

Alexi Ramirez had three singles and a stolen base.  Mike Trout made his first out of the spring, but also got a single, which lowered his BA to .667.  I'm not sure what he's still doing in the major league camp.  He should be starting the season in high A or AA, and he's not moving Torii Hunter out of CF any time soon.  I just found out that Trout is from Millville, NJ.  I played an over 30-league game in Millville once.  I probably played on the same field he played at.

Less than a week to real baseball!

Monday, March 29, 2010

TEAM EVALUATIONS: FISHFLIES

Team: Fishflies
Conference: Patriot
Division: Central
2009 Record: 91-71, 2nd Place

Typical Lineup:

1B Joey Votto/Aubrey Huff
2B Ian Kinsler
SS Elvis Andrus/Reid Brignac
3B Alex Rodriguez/Michael Young

LF Johnny Damon
CF Randy Winn
RF David Murphy/Josh Anderson

C Kurt Suzuki/Dioner Navarro

DH Aubrey Huff/Michael Young/Alex Rodriguez

Votto, Kinsler, A-Rod and Young are spectacular, but the outfield is mediocre at best, and the fewer AB to Dioner Navarro, the better.  Defensively, it looks pretty good, except in LF with Damon.  

Starting Rotation:

Josh Johnson
John Danks
Joe Blanton
Ricky Nolasco
Jake Peavy/Mark Rzepczynski
Wade Davis/John Niese/Chris Young

It's better than all the names makes it look, although having nine guys who can start is something to be envious of.  Johnson is an ace and Danks is better than average.  Blanton and Nolasco are effective innings munchers, and the combinations of Peavy and Rzepczynski and the Davis/Niese/Young will get people out.

Bullpen:

Craig Breslow
Tim Byrdak
Darren O'Day
Jose Valverde
Sean White

Great versatility with O'Day coming sidearm from the right side and Byrdak missing a lot of lefty bats, plus Breslow and White getting righties out and Valverde also able to close.  This is a major strength.

Closer:

Francisco Cordero

Better than average and should be in a lot of games.

Minors:

Jason Heyward
Will Myers
Michael Taylor
Jaff Decker

Heyward is ready now and will move right into the Fishflies weak RF spot and put up big numbers.  Taylor, Myers, and Decker are longer-range prospects that can all play.  The lack of pitching prospects is probably a conscious strategy, and shouldn't be a problem in the short term.

The nine starters, the bullpen, and the stars in the infield will carry the Fishflies to a lot of wins.  I expect them to take the division, and then bow out gracefully to the Chuggers in round one of the playoffs.

Expected Record: 96-66

SPRING STATS, PART IV

This will probably we the final Spring Stats, since next Monday is Opening Day, and I won't care any more.  Then again, maybe I will.  We'll leave that open.


OFFENSE

The good: The team OPS of .839 is encouraging.  The 83 SO/64 BB ratio is excellent.  Miguel Cabrera, Aaron Hill and Hunter Pence are raking.  Andres Torres will never supplant Aaron Rowand in CF for the Giants, but it isn't because of his bat.  David Wright has picked it up.

The bad:  Bobby Abreu and Adrian Gonzalez look terrible.  Bobby never starts strong, but I'm hoping Gonzalez isn't in "Operation Shutdown" until San Diego finally trades him.  I can't really afford that.  Russell Martin may struggle until he gets a few swings in, which, given his poor start last year, isn't helpful.

PITCHING

The good:  Mark Buehrle, Kenshin Kawakami and Jamie Moyer have been outstanding.  Luke Gregerson, Nick Masset, and Darren Oliver are right where they need to be.  He's not shown here, but Francsico Rodriguez has also been sharp.  I like the 117 SO/48 BB ratio.

The bad: The team ERA of 5.05 and team WHIP of 1.52 are awful, but Spring Training is usually a hitter's paradise.  Kevin Millwood and  Ben Sheets might make this a brutally long season for me.  Andrew Miller was sent down, and Jose Mijares and Ramon S. Ramirez got shelled regularly.  Jonathan Sanchez will drive me crazy again this year, it appears.

I'll do another team evaluation later.

Friday, March 26, 2010

TEAM EVALUATIONS: FURS

Team: Furs
Conference: Liberty
Division: Northeast
2009 Record: 69-93, 5th Place

Typical Lineup:
1B Nick Swisher/Daric Barton
2B Clint Barmes
SS Marco Scutaro/Jose Reyes
3B Pedro Feliz

LF Carlos Lee
CF Franklin Gutierrez/Cody Ross
RF Juan Rivera/Jay Bruce

C Rod Barajas/Omir Santos

DH Travis Hafner/Rickie Weeks

They have two of the best fielding CF in the league, but they both can't play at the same time.  Feliz is a gaping hole offensively at 3B, and Swisher is out of position at 1B.  Barmes is a decent defender at 2B, but he didn't hit much.  Scutaro is a little better at SS.  Lee and Rivera should hit well, but they are liabilities in the field.  The DH and C positions aren't very strong offensively relative to the rest of the league.  As a whole, the lineup has possibilities, but is maybe only average or slightly below, with an uneven defense.

Starting Rotation:

Adam Wainwright
Ubaldo Jimenez
Barry Zito
Trevor Cahill
Carl Pavano

The rotation starts out very strong with a couple of genuine aces, but then peters out at the end.  Wainwright and Jimenez should win a ton of games and keep the Furs above water.  Cahill and Pavano will be trying to sink them every fifth day, though.

Bullpen:

Alfredo Aceves
Phil Coke
Lance Cormier
Jeff Fulchino
Fernando Rodney

Not bad.  Aceves, Fulchino and Cormier will do the bulk of the setting up, and Rodney can also close.

Closer:

Bobby Jenks

The big man is still pretty effective.

Minors:

Carlos Carrasco
Freddie Freeman
Austin Jackson
Mike Leake
Josh Vitters

Either Freeman or Vitters should solve the 1B problem pretty soon, and Jackson is yet another fleet-footed CF that could be used as trade bait.  Leake will probably start as a rookie for the Reds coming out of Spring Training in 2010, and Carrasco looks ready to step into an important role in the Indians rotation.  It's a small but talented collection that fills some needs.

The Furs look very much improved from 2009, and should be in the mix for a playoff spot behind OshKosh in the competitive Liberty Northeast.  I think they will battle the Senators to the wire, and possibly lose out at the end, mostly because of the relatively weak offense.

Predicted Record: 88-74

MILLER LOW LIFE

It's official.  Andrew Miller was shipped out to the New Orleans Zephyrs, having booted away whatever slim chance he had to make the Marlins starting rotation.  This may be the last we see of Andrew, yet another casualty in my long quest for decent starting pitching.

On a better note, Kenshin Kawakami and Mark Buehrle both had strong starts.  Kawakami worked six shutout innings, while Buehrle allowed no earned runs in five innings.  Luke Gregerson picked up a save in that same game, and Nick Masset worked a scoreless inning in Tuscon.

Hunter Pence had a double among his three hits against the Phillies for the only offensive highlight for the Slingers on Thursday.  Russell Martin caught four innings in a AA game, and it looks like he should have no trouble making it back in time for Opening Day.

Thursday, March 25, 2010

TEAM EVALUATIONS: MAMMOTHS

Team: Mammoths
Conference: Patriot
Division: West
2009 Record: 117-45, 1st Place

Typical Lineup:

1B Albert Pujols
2B Dustin Pedroia
SS Stephen Drew
3B Alex Gordon/Scott Rolen

LF Corey Hart/Matt Diaz
CF Vernon Wells
RF J.D. Drew/Seth Smith

C Joe Mauer

DH Jason Kubel/Carlos Pena

Un-freaking-believable.  You have to credit the owner for amassing this wealth of talent.  Absolute studs everywhere you look.  Pujols, Mauer, Pedroia, all MVP's.  Makes you want to gouge your eyes out in jealousy.  Even the backups are better than my guys.

Starting Rotation:

Zack Greinke
Tim Lincecum
Yovani Gallardo
Matt Garza
Rich Harden

BOTH Cy Young winners!  It just keeps getting worse for us opponents.  Rich Harden is his FIFTH starter!  I would kill for Rich Harden.

Bullpen:

Grant Balfour
Brian Wilson
Sergio Romo
Matt Thornton

Gah!  Eyes almost out completely now!

Closer:

Jonathan Broxton/Heath Bell

All gone now.  Typing by feel only.

Minors:

Kenny Diekroeger
Jeff Francis
Anthony Rendon

As if he needs any more talent.

The Mammoths will subdue, crush and destroy this league.  The only possible obstacle will be the Chuggers, who can't quite match up to all the ways the Mammoths can beat you.  Then it will be an easy romp to the World Series title over the Liberty Conference winner.

Predicted Record: 125-37

K-ROD K'S THEM ALL

Brian Matusz was merely average yesterday, allowing nine hits and three earned runs in six innings against the Cardinals.  I'll take it.  Francisco Rodriguez must have unleashed the slider a few times as he struck out all three Astros he faced.

Bobby Abreu had a double and a single and Carlos Quentin and Kosuke Fukudome had three singles each in separate games in Arizona.  There were a whole lot of oh-fers other than that.  Adrian Gonzalez got a rare single this spring.  Come on, Red Sox, make the trade so that Adrian will stop pouting.


Wednesday, March 24, 2010

TEAM EVALUATIONS: LAKERS

Team: Lakers
Conference: Liberty
Division: Northeast
2009 Record: 70-92, 4th Place (as Bobcats)

Typical Lineup:

1B Paul Konerko
2B Orlando Hudson
SS Miguel Tejeda
3B Adrian Beltre

LF Garrett Jones/Nolan Reimold
CF Nolan Reimold/Ryan Raburn
RF Jayson Werth

DH Vladimir Guerrero/Nick Johnson

C A.J. Pierzynski/Josh Bard

Only Werth (and Garrett Jones in a more limited role) had a truly outstanding season among this group.  Even so, it adds up to a workable lineup.  There are a couple of 1's in the infield with Hudson and Beltre, but the rest of the defense is lacking, and there is no true centerfielder.  This was a great team about three years ago, but a lot of these guys are long in the tooth and on the decline.

Starting Rotation:

Chad Billingsley
John Garland
Randy Wells
Ross Ohlendorf
Derek Lowe

The rotation was boosted with 2010 draft picks Wells and Ohlendorf, but only to closer to average rather than good.  Derek Lowe is a dead weight at the back end.

Bullpen:

Matt Guerrier
Trevor Hoffman
Octavio Dotel
James MacDonald
Trever Miller
George Sherrill

A big strength for the team, especially Hoffman, Guerrier and Sherrill.  Miller makes a terrific LOOGY.

Closer:

Joe Nathan

One of the game's best, Nathan should protect most of the Lakers leads.  It was unfortunate that he had to get Tommy John surgery this spring, but the team has some other options with Hoffman and Sherrill.

Minors:

Michael Burgess
Jose Iglesias
Shelby Miller
Jared Mitchell
Wilson Ramos
Ben Revere
Carlos Santana
Jordan Walden
Drew Storen

Plenty of blue-chip talent here.  Santana should solve the catching problems, and Jose Iglesias may be ready at SS very soon after the Red Sox threw $6 million at him.  The rest are top prospects with good potential that should help the aging lineup get younger very soon.

The Lakers great bullpen will probably not be enough to completely counteract the middling offense and starting pitching, at least not for a playoff spot, but I think they will improve over 2009.  They have the 10th best WHIP and 10th best OPS in the league, which points to an average season.  I'm thinking the relievers will account for a few extra wins, though, to get them into the positive category.

Predicted Record: 83-79

TORRES, TORRES, TORRES!

Andres Torres continued his amazing run of extra-base hits with a double and a triple off former Flash/Gunslinger Gavin Floyd of the White Sox.  Alexei Ramirez had two hits in the same game.

None of my starters pitched again on Tuesday, and only Ramon S. Ramirez got in from the bullpen, allowing one run in an inning and a third.

There was a Mike Trout sighting out in Arizona, but he didn't get an AB.  It was a road game for the Angels, so they probably packed the bus with all kinds of youngsters.  Mike is still 1-for-1 this spring with a triple.


Tuesday, March 23, 2010

TEAM EVALUATIONS: BOMBERS

Team: Bombers
Conference: Liberty
Division: North
2009 Record: 59-103, 4th Place

Typical Lineup:

1B Prince Fielder
2B Brandon Phillips
SS Edgar Renteria/Brendan Ryan
3B Joe Crede/Jack Hannahan

LF Ben Francisco/Willie Harris/Angel Pagan
CF Nyjer Morgan/Angel Pagan
RF Michael Cuddyer

DH Russell Branyan/Ben Francisco

C Jason Varitek/Carlos Ruiz

The lineup isn't that bad for a team that won only 59 games last year.  Cuddyer and Morgan were big additions in the 2010 draft.  Fielder and Phillips make a formidable right side of the infield on offense, anyway, with Phillips also being a plus defender.  Ruiz and Varitek are a strong defensive catching tandem.  The left side of the infield is a mess on offense, but they should save some runs defensively.  Left field looks like a black hole, but Pagan will help there a bit.  Branyan bounced back for a nice year in 2009 and will add some pop at DH.

Starting Rotation:

Kevin Correia
Joe Saunders
Jeremy Guthrie
Andrew Sonnanstine/Matt Palmer
Mark Hendrickson/Robinson Tejeda/Chris Narveson/Carlos Villanueva

Truly awful, especially considering that Correia, a slightly better than league average guy, was a 2010 draft pick.  This rotation will prevent the Bombers from improving much over last year's team, despite the better offense and solid all-around defense.

Bullpen:

Scott Downs
Kevin Gregg
Chris Sampson
Chris Smth

Downs isn't bad, but the rest are punching bags and will not help matters.

Closer:

Ryan Franklin

Franklin is great.  Too bad he won't have much to do this season.

Minors:

Jim Edmonds
Matt Moore
Jacob Odorizzi

The decision to hang on to the 40-year-old Edmonds was questionable, but Moore and Odorizzi look like future stars, albeit a few years away.  This team could use some good young pitching.  The Bombers were probably better served by drafting for the future rather than grabbing Cuddyer, Morgan, and Correia, but we'll see how things play out.

If the Bombers had any decent pitching, aside from their excellent closer, I would expect a big jump in wins, but the pitching is terrible and will hold this club back.

Predicted Record: 64-98

OH FOR GRAPEFRUIT

It was a pretty miserable day for the Slingers in Florida, with none of my hitters there managing a safety.  Chris Snyder went 3-for-3 in Arizona, but the rest all cratered in the desert, too.  Luke Gregerson finally re-appeared and pitched a scoreless inning with one strikeout.  I'm in one one of those cycles where all my pitchers appear within a day of each other, and the other days are completely devoid of stats.

Another team evaluation will follow.


Monday, March 22, 2010

TEAM EVALUATIONS: HOBOS

Team: Hobos
Conference: Patriot
Division: Central
2009 Record: 110-52, 1st Place

Typical Lineup:

1B Lance Berkman
2B Jeff Keppinger/Howie Kendrick/Asdrubal Cabrera
SS Asdrubal Cabrera/Rafael Furcal
3B Chase Headley

LF Nelson Cruz/Alfonso Soriano
CF Chris Young
RF Andre Ethier/Milton Bradley

DH Milton Bradley/Alfonso Soriano/Nelson Cruz/Jesus Flores

C Mike Napoli/Landon Powell/Jesus Flores

The Hobos lineup is a patchwork that isn't as great as the parts looks to be, at least not this season.  Berkman pretty much continued to rake, but Soriano, Young, and Bradley didn't contribute much.  Cruz and Ethier make nice corner outfielders.  Cabrera was slightly better with the bat this year at SS, but Furcal will probably bounce back in 2010.  Napoli is a good power-hitting catcher, but his defensive skills are poor.  Flores will give the Hobos 95 good AB's.

Starting Rotation:

C.C. Sabathia
John Lackey
James Shields
Rick Porcello
Ian Snell
Erik Bedard/Daisuke Matsuzaka

This is a better rotation than WHIP and ERA show, and it's not bad even then.  Shields and Porcello are merely slightly above league average at this point, but will improve, and Snell is worse than that.  The others (aside from Dice-K) are terrific and are the aces of their respective staffs.  Bedard's 15 starts will come in very handy.

Bullpen:

Ronald Belisario
Evan Meek
David Robertson
Kerry Wood

Nothing special here, except for Belisario's ability to negate righties.

Closer:

Brian Fuentes

Fuentes is a weak closer who should struggle in this league.  Wood can step in to take off some of the heat, but he isn't much better.

Minors:

Dustin Ackley
James Darnell
Yu Darvish
Desmond Jennings
Ethan Martin
Anthony Ranaudo
Jameson Taillon

A decent collection of talent, with Jennings the only one fairly close to making the major league roster.  The others are pretty far away, and Darvish may never play an inning in the US while enjoying a superstar career in Japan.  Ranaudo and Taillon haven't even been drafted yet, but should have at least a reasonable shot at stardom in three to four years.

The Hobos are in my division, and I was ready to relegate them further down when I saw their overall stats, but the starting pitching looks like that of a contender, and they should be right in the mix if not on top.  Fuentes may cause some problems with end game situations, and the offense looks spotty, but I think they should do well.  Nothing like the 110 wins of last year, but 90 wins appears within reach.

Predicted Record: 92-70

SPRING STATS, PART III


The hitting isn't bad, with an .830 OPS.  The BA is dropping fast, but we're still getting on base and hitting our share of extra-base hits.  Only Hunter Pence, Miguel Cabrera, and Aaron Hill are having strong springs.  Bobby Abreu and Adrian Gonzalez are having an awful time of it.

The pitching is still lousy, but better than last week.  Pretty much everybody improved except Andrew Miller, who appears to have no shot at the fifth spot in the Marlins rotation.  I have six guys who should start the season in someone's rotation, although Jamie Moyer might lose out to Kyle Kendrick.  I'm not sure why Luke Gregerson didn't pitch all week.  There is no news on the wire anywhere saying he was hurt.

SUNDAY HAPPY SUNDAY

What a day for the Gunslingers starting pitching!  Oh, yeah, and that health care thingy, that happened too.

Jamie "Closest In The Majors To Medicare" Moyer faced off against Kevin Millwood, and they both looked pretty sharp.  Moyer struck out six, walked none, and allowed only one earned run in five innings.  Millwood had a nearly identical line, allowing three walks in addition to one earned run and six K's in five innings.  Millwood also gave up a homer to Delta president Paul "Robert" Hoover (who became a public defender in Baltimore...maybe Millwood needs some pro bono work).

Elsewhere, a line of thunder-sunshine moved through Florida, washing out a bunch of games.  Jose Mijares managed an inning of scoreless relief, and Ramon S. Ramirez came in and mopped up after Jonathan Papelbon's six-run meltdown against the Astros by retiring the final two batters of the innings.  Absolutely nothing of note happened for the Gunslingers out in Arizona.

I'll publish a statistical roundup later today and another team evaluation.  And you better come through, Harry Reid.

Saturday, March 20, 2010

MATUSZ OF IMPORTANCE

Brian Matusz came through again, stymieing the Phillies with no hits and two walks over five and a third innings.  He's the real deal, until he comes down with Dengue fever or something, like the rest of my promising pitchers.

Nick Masset tossed a scoreless inning against the Mariners with two K's.  Kenshin Kawakami stretched out to five innings with two earned runs allowed and four strikeouts.

Bobby Abreu returned from his undisclosed "side" injury to hit his first spring homer.  It's all on you, Adrian Gonzalez (who took another oh-fer).  The Red Sox are paying attention to your spring power outage as much as I am, buddy.


Friday, March 19, 2010

TEAM EVALUATIONS: SHOOTERS

Team: Shooters
Conference: Liberty
Division: North
2009 Record: 82-80, 3rd Place

Typical Lineup:

1B Lyle Overbay
2B Dan Uggla
SS Christian Guzman/Everth Cabrera
3B Casey Blake/Casey McGehee

LF Carl Crawford
CF Shane Victorino
RF Shin-Soo Choo

C Brian McCann/Bengie Molina

DH Luke Scott

Solid around the field with no obvious holes other than SS.  The catching duo is top-notch, and the outfield defense is fantastic.  The infield defense is weak other than Overbay.

Starting Rotation:

Jair Jurrjens
Chris Carpenter
Paul Maholm
Brian Bannister
Tommie Hunter/Koji Uehara

The top two are outstanding, but then there is a precipitous drop off.  Hunter and Uehara combine for a decent 5th starter.  There are a bunch of other options not mentioned, but none of them are particularly good.

Bullpen:

Jason Frasor
Jason Bulger
Hideki Okajima
Brandon League
Matt Capps

The two Jasons and Okijima are good, but again, a big drop-off after that.

Closer:

David Aardsma

Aardsma has emerged as one of the game's top closers, and will greatly help the Shooters in close games.

Minors:

J.P. Arencibia
Philippe Aumont
Adeiny Hechevarria
Scott Sizemore

The Cuban defector Hechevarria may have solved the Shooters SS problems after he signed a hefty deal with the Blue Jays.  Arencibia looks like a good catching prospect, and Sizemore will start at 2B for the Tigers.  Aumont may be several years away, but he has potential.  It's not a huge prospect list, but it fills some holes.

The Shooters have a good all-around offense, two great starting pitchers, and a great closer.  This should all add up a to a winning season, but not a championship.  They have a shot at winning the division and should at least grab a wild card.  It will be difficult to beat the very tough OshKosh squad to get to the World Series though.

Predicted Record: 91-71

AARON (HILL) MAKES LIKE AARON (HANK)

Aaron Hill hit his first spring homer, finally.  Only a few more homerless guys to go.  I'm looking at you, Adrian Gonzalez.  Quit worrying about your next contract and hit!

Jose Mijares and Francisco Rodriguez did the pitching staff proud by recording a scoreless inning each.  My starters are all pretty much relegated to facing local squads of coach-pitch teams at this point to build up their confidence.  It didn't help when that little snot-nosed Jimmy Finkel of Tempe Roosevelt Elementary took Ben Sheets deep.

Another team evaluation to follow.  I compiled the overall stats from all 20 teams yesterday, and my offense actually looks good compared to the league.  My starting pitching is going to absolutely kill me, though.  It's always much worse than it looks on paper, and it's not that good on paper.

Thursday, March 18, 2010

TEAM EVALUATIONS: SKEETERS

Team: Skeeters
Conference: Liberty
Division: North
2009 Record: 56-106, 5th Place

Typical Lineup:

1B Hank Blalock
2B Felipe Lopez
SS Ryan Theriot
3B Gordon Beckham/Ty Wigginton/Jhonny Peralta

LF Colby Rasmus
CF Michael Bourn
RF Andrew McCutcheon/Cameron Maybin

C Miguel Olivo/Taylor Teagarden/Gerald Laird

DH Ty Wigginton/Jhonny Peralta

The lineup overall is pretty weak, especially at 1B with Blalock, SS with Theriot, and DH with Wigginton and Peralta.  Only one player, McCutcheon, cracks the .800 OPS barrier, and Lopez leads all hitters with a .361 OBP.  Nobody slugs .500.  This team will really struggle to score runs.  Run prevention looks better, with Bourn and McCutcheon in the outfield and Theriot and Lopez on the infield.  Olivo and Teagarden make a pretty good catching tandem.

Starting Rotation:

Clayton Kershaw
Jarrod Washburn
Andy Pettitte
Vicente Padilla
Scott Richmond/Clay Buchholz/Jordan Zimmerman

This is a young and very promising rotation, and could be dominant in a few years, but looks pretty average after Kershaw this season.  Still, it's a deep talent pool and won't be awful.

Bullpen:

Derek Holland
Franklin Morales
Bobby Parnell

Now this, this is awful.

Closer:

Leo Nunez

Pretty mediocre.

Minors:

Pedro Alvarez
Buster Posey
Lars Anderson
Josh Bell
Chris Carter (OAK)
Aroldis Chapman
Casey Crosby
Christian Friedrich
Dee Gordon
Aaron Hicks
Logan Morrison
Derek Norris

Help is on the way!  And plenty of it.  Chapman leads a bountiful crop of young talent, followed by Posey, Alvarez, Morrison, Carter, Crosby...ok, all of these guys are potentially very good.  I think the Skeeters are well on their way to contention after the 2010 draft, and they were getting better quickly before that.

It'll be another down year for the Skeeters, but huge improvement is very close.  It was probably a good idea to forgo building a decent bullpen this year, since the losses will come from the innings prior to the 7th with such a poor offense and lack of dominant starting pitching.  This lineup looks stacked in the years to come, and the bullpen can be filled in later.

Predicted Record:  65-97

THE USUAL CRAP

Let's see, Hunter Pence had a couple of hits, Nick Masset threw a scoreless inning, Juan Uribe hit a homer, and of course, Andrew Miller got hammered.  Pretty much another typical day in Florida and Arizona.  They sent Aaron Crow down to AA, despite the fact that he didn't allow a run in three outings.  Carlos Quentin made an appearance between injuries (he hasn't had his next one yet, but it's only a matter of time).  I'm ready for the season to start, and they have another two whole weeks of this nonsense.

I got the post-draft roster file, and I will be doing another team evaluation soon.  Yay, I guess.

Wednesday, March 17, 2010

WAN QUENTIN BLUES

Here we go again department:  Carlos Quentin was removed from a game against the Rockies due to an "undisclosed minor injury".  Next thing you know, he has Crohn's Disease or something.  This guy just wasn't meant to play competitive sports.

Justin Smoak, meanwhile, hit his first spring homer off Marcos Mateo of the Cubs.  Two minor leaguers involved in that AB, pretty much, unless Chris Davis goes into another tailspin.  Jose Mijares pitched a scoreless inning against the Orioles.  Kevin Millwood has been reduced to intrasquad games, and he's getting shelled in those, too.

We finally got a pick from our last draft straggler, but I haven't received the final post-draft roster yet.  If I get it, I'll do another team evaluation.

Tuesday, March 16, 2010

I'M GETTING TOO OLD FOR THIS SHEETS

Ok, this is getting bad.  Really bad.  Ben Sheets didn't get anybody out yesterday against the Reds, getting pulled after allowing eight hits and a walk and all nine baserunners to score (plus a guy who had reached on an error - Sheets' own error of course).  Curtis Dickerson finished off Bennie's day with a two-run homer.  That was positively Noah Lowry-like in it's disastrousness, and we know where Lowry is now, panhandling for any LOOGY job he can get.  And Sheets isn't even left-handed!  It may be time for Ben to take his $10 million guaranteed from the A's and go start a fine bedding business.  Sheets by Sheets.  Sounds like a winner to me.

In other calamities, Mark Buehrle got cuffed around by the freakin' Royals of all teams for nine hits and three runs in four innings.  Miguel Cabrera finally did something positive, smacking a homer off Mark, uh, I'm not even going to try to spell that name.  You know, that Polish guy from the Blue Jays.  That guy must be murder on the clubhouse people in Toronto.  Chris Snyder had a couple of hits, and managed to get thrown at his head by Cliff Lee, who was promptly ejected after the requisite bench-clearing ballet (this is only the Cactus League, after all).  Apparently, Lee took issue with Snyder running into him on a play at the plate in the first inning that Lee was backing up.  You go, Chris!  Disabling the other teams' guys is our only hope.

I'm waiting for the final post-draft roster spreadsheet to be issued to do any more team evaluations.  We still have one guy who hasn't made his 10th round pick.  I'll trade you Ben Sheets for it!

Monday, March 15, 2010

TEAM EVALUATIONS: SENATORS

Team: Senators
Conference: Liberty
Division: Northeast
2009 Record: 98-64, 1st place

Typical lineup:

1B Billy Butler
2B Robinson Cano
SS Jason Bartlett
3B Chone Figgins

LF Josh Willingham/Melky Cabrera
CF Carlos Beltran/Felix Pie
RF Ryan Ludwick/Elijah Dukes

DH Jack Cust

C Jadier Molina/Jose Morales

Nothing spectacular, but steady all the way across, with some great speed, defense, and enough power to do some damage.  Cano, Bartlett and Figgins are all standouts in the infield.  The outfield is not as strong, but there are a lot of spare parts (some not shown here) that will add to the overall effectiveness.  Molina is terrific all-around backstop.

Starting Rotation:

Cliff Lee
John Lannan
Jason Marquis
J.A. Happ
Aaron Harang
Chris Volstad

Lee is a true ace, and Happ looks great in a more limited role.  The rest are pretty much league-average, but not so horrible that you would mind running them out there.  This is the rotation of a borderline playoff team in our league.

Bullpen:

Shawn Camp
Bobby Howry
Guillermo Mota
Fu-Te Ni
Takaishi Saito
Claudio Vargas

Deep, solid and versatile, but not spectacular.  There won't be too much lead-surrendering here, but it could get hairy sometimes.

Closer:

Chad Qualls

Not the best.  They have an advantage in that Saito can help take up some slack.

Minors:

Ryan Tucker

Another team built for now.  The one prospect, Tucker, is a pitcher in the Marlins organization who spent much of 2009 on the DL.  He now says he has Raynaud's Disease, which causes numbness in his extremities in cold weather.  Not good for a guy who would have to play against the Mets, Phillies, Nationals, Rockies, Cards, Pirates, and Cubs in April, May, and September.  Let's hope he gets traded out West somewhere.

It looks to me like the Senators will not repeat or improve on their 98-win season of a year ago, and might be heading for a several-years-long decline without some major re-tooling.  They should contend for at least a wild-card this season, though.  They have enough pitching and the offense is just good enough to put them at that level, but not much further.  I can't see a long playoff run here.

Predicted Record: 89-73

SPRING STATS, PART II


Man, my pitching has gone to hell.  At least everybody is getting in games and staying relatively healthy, except for Old Man Moyer.  Millwood looks like he'll have a snapped neck watching balls fly out of Camden Yards this year.  I'm not sure what happened to Masset in that one outing.  He's not a gopher-ball guy.  Maybe he was working on a new pitch.  As for the offense, I'm a bit concerned about not one homer among those first five guys.  Other than that, not too terrible.  I like the 32 BB/34 SO ratio.  I wish we could keep that up all season.

NOTHING ELSE MATUSZ

Brian Matusz continues to look like a future ace of, well, the Gunslingers anyway, if not the Orioles.  That would be Kevin Millwood.  Ha!  Anyway, Matusz lasted five strong innings, giving up only three hits, no walks, one earned run, and striking out two Phillies.

Hunter Pence got the offense back on track, sort of, with a homer and a single.  In that same game, Kenshin Kawakami looked like he had a yen for some home sushi, giving up eight hits and three earned runs in what was supposed to be his first five-inning outing, but was shortened to three and two-thirds.

Over in Arizona, Jonathan Sanchez followed up his good outing in the last game with a clunker, walking five and giving up six earned runs to the Brewers in only two innings.

Bobby Abreu was scratched due to pain in "his side".  Not sure which side or what body part even, but I'm guessing it's a lat or pec or ab injury or something.  Maybe it was a bad enchilada, or whatever they eat in Venezuela (Wikipedia says the national dish is Pabellón criollo - looks pretty good).  Come on, Bobby, hold it together for at least one more year, buddy.  We need you.

Another statistical roundup and a team evaluation to follow.


Sunday, March 14, 2010

MILLER CRIME

Andrew Miller continued his quest for a starting spot in the New Orleans Zephyrs rotation (maybe he likes Dixieland Jazz?) by giving up three runs in three innings of work.  The four walks didn't help much either.


David Wright and Andres Torres each homered on separate sides of the country.  Not at the same exact instant, though.  That would have been creepy.


Luke Gregerson went an inning and two-thirds of scoreless relief in a 10-inning loss to Oakland.


I'll do another team evaluation tomorrow.  We are done with the draft, except for a couple of stragglers who don't seem to want that last guy on their team.  I'll pick one of the perennial league championship contenders just to make myself even more depressed.

Saturday, March 13, 2010

THE SEASONAL RAIN STATE

It was a complete washout over in the Grapefruit League on Friday, which is probably just as well.  It's not like anybody on my team there is on a tear.  A good day of rest is most likely the best possible outcome.  Go, Gunslingers!

In the Cactus League, Carlos Quentin had another 2-hit game, and Andres Torres smacked a pair of doubles.  Other than that, it was zeroes across the board, and none of my pitchers appeared.  I'm dreading Monday's statistical review.


Friday, March 12, 2010

STILL MORE THAN I WOULD PAY


Not even if YOU paid ME, Ann.  Not even then.

TEAM EVALUATIONS: ESOX

Team: Esox
Conference: Patriot
Division: West
2009 Record: 37-125, 5th place

Typical lineup:

1B Chris Davis
2B Martin Prado
SS Luis Valbuena/Alcides Escobar
3B Brandon Inge/Ian Stewart/Mark Teahen

LF Mark Teahen/Carlos Gonzalez
CF David Dejesus
RF Michael Brantley/Fernando Martinez/Mark Teahen

DH Mark Teahen/Ian Stewart/Matt LaPorta/Brandon Inge

C Jarrod Saltalamacchia/John Baker

Yikes.  This lineup is disjointed and brutally awful, but there is a lot to build on here.  Davis should improve given his 2009 second half; LaPorta, Salty, Escobar, Stewart, and possibly Gonzalez are future all-stars; Prado had a terrific year offensively for a 2B; and Dejesus should be steady for several more years. This year, though, it's bad - better than the 37-win team of 2009, but still bad.

Starting Rotation:

Johnny Cueto
Brett Anderson
Scott Kazmir
Dallas Braden
Anibal Sanchez
Brian Tallet/Chris Tillman/Glen Perkins/Todd Wellemeyer

Cueto is a future ace, but not there yet.  The rest are league-average or worse, but at least there are a lot of guys to choose from, and maybe one of those 6th starters will emerge as worthwhile, most likely Tillman.  Kazmir could bounce back to his prospect level, and Braden looks like a very good find.

Bullpen:

Daniel Bard
Tony Pena
Brian Tallet
Todd Wellemeyer

More nightmare fuel here, although Bard has a ton of raw talent and great K/IP numbers.

Closer:

Neftali Feliz

Feliz is a great pitcher who should be terrorizing Major League hitters for the next decade or two.  He's wasted here in 2010 on a team that will have few leads to close.

Minors:

Tim Alderson
Yonder Alonso
Gerrit Cole
Wilmer Flores
Tanner Scheppers
Jose Tabata
Donavan Tate
Brett Wallace
Ryan Westmoreland

The cupboard is bursting here, with Tabata, Wallace, Tate, Westmoreland, and Alonso all poised to be massive OPS monsters, and Alderson and Scheppers as hard-throwing righties at the top of the rotation.  Even Wilmer Flores might help soon if Jose Reyes continues to have health problems and/or the Mets move him to 2B.  I don't know much about Cole, but he looks like a good bet to come out of UCLA as a high first round pick.

The Esox will be much better in 2010 than in 2009, but they will struggle to avoid 100 losses.  I see the blueprint of a hugely successful team in there, especially in the minor league offense, but a couple more years of seasoning are required.

Predicted Record: 62-100

THAT'S MY SECOND ROUND PICK RIGHT THERE!

It was another miserable afternoon in the Grapefruit League for Kevin Millwood yesterday.  The Oriole righthander gave up five earned runs on nine hits in two and two-thirds innings, including a home run to Michael Cuddyer in an 8-3 thrashing by the Twins.  His Spring Training ERA is now a healthy 29.70.  He's working things out, that's it!  Like how to duck line drives at his head.

Elsewhere, the relievers had pretty decent days, aside from Luke Gregerson, who gave up a run in only two-thirds of an inning.  Nick MassetAlex White and Aaron Crow all had scoreless frames.  Maybe Crow will go north with the Royals as a long man/swing starter.  I haven't heard anything, and given his lack of pro experience, I would doubt it.  He'll probably start in AA with an eye toward getting him with the big club before August.  It's not like the Royals are going anywhere.

Hey, somebody had a multiple-hit day!  Carlos Quentin doubled and singled in a 5-5 tie with Cleveland.  Man, when that's the best offensive news in three days, things are not looking well.

Thursday, March 11, 2010

TEAM EVALUATIONS: MILLERS

Team: Millers
Conference: Patriot
Division: Central
2009 Record: 85-77, 4th place (as Stars)

Typical lineup:

1B Kendry Morales
2B Adam Kennedy
SS Orlando Cabrera
3B Mike Lowell

LF Curtis Granderson
CF Torii Hunter
RF Jermaine Dye/Nate McLouth

C Ryan Doumit/Ronny Paulino/Yorvit Torrealba

DH David Ortiz/Jermain Dye

This is a pretty balanced lineup with good depth in the outfield.  The team OPS is amazingly similar to the Derelicts, and even a bit lower.  The defense looks very strong across the board, except maybe behind the plate.  Torrealba is the only good defender of the three, and he won't get the bulk of the playing time.

Starting Rotation:

Roy Halladay
Bronson Arroyo
Carlos Zambrano
Nick Blackburn
Tommie Hanson/Brad Bergesen

A very strong top half, led by perennial All-Star Halladay, and a bottom half that will still get people out.  Hanson may become the #2 guy as soon as next year.

Bullpen:

Tyler Clippard
Todd Coffey
Pedro Feliciano
Frank Francisco
Angel Guzman
Joe Thatcher

Closer:

Rafael Soriano

The pen is an embarrassment of riches.  It will be very difficult to come back against these guys.  Soriano might have some homer issues, but he's generally lights out.

Minors:
Billy Wagner
J.R. Towles

The Millers are built to contend now.

Pitching will be the key to the Millers success this year, and it should be a pretty good year.  Halladay will probably win 20, with Soriano saving at least 30 behind a strong set-up staff.  The offense is not championship caliber, though, and even though the Millers may vie for a playoff spot, I can't see them going far.

Predicted Record: 90-72



CLEAN SANCHEZ

Jonathan Sanchez that is.  He pitched three very tidy innings against the Cubs, striking out five and allowing no earned runs.  Not faring as well was comeback kid Ben Sheets, who was tagged for five earned runs on five hits in two and two-thirds innings versus the White Sox.  Nobody else did much of anything, except for Ramon S. Ramirez, as he is being called because there is a Ramon A. Ramirez also on the Red Sox.  S. struck out two in a scoreless inning of relief in Fort Myers against the Rays.

I'll do another team profile this afternoon.  Man, I hope none of these guys Googles their team name.

Wednesday, March 10, 2010

TEAM EVALUATIONS: DERELICTS

Team: Derelicts
Conference: Liberty
Division: Northeast
2009 Record: 75-87, 3rd place

Typical lineup:

1B Mark Teixeira
2B Freddy Sanchez
SS J.J. Hardy
3B Evan Longoria

LF Will Venable
CF Grady Sizemore
RF Delmon Young

C Matt Wieters

DH Ryan Braun/Travis Snider/Ronny Cedeno

The offense looks pretty spotty.  They added Mark Teixeira with the first pick in the 2010 draft after the Chuggers overused him last year, which will help tremendously, but overall, they have a lot of missing pieces.  They don't really have a full-time DH, and will have to rotate guys in and out to make it through the season.  This will expose an already porous outfield defense, since Braun and Young are not plus defenders.  The infield defense is very good, though.  Wieters is only starting what should be a great career, but isn't yet.  Sizemore had an off year offensively and should be a big negative over last year. Longoria is a fantastic all-around player.

Starting Rotation:

Matt Cain
Max Scherzer
Scott Feldman
Mike Pelfrey
Homer Bailey

This is a very weak area for the Derelicts.  Only Cain is a true ace, while the others are league-average innings munchers at best.  The bottom two of this rotation could lose 15-20 games each.

Bullpen:

Manny Delcarmen
Francisco Liriano
Chris Perez
Ryan Perry

Also pretty poor.  Any leads the starters give to these guys will be tenuous.

Closer:

Mike Gonzalez

Gonzalez is a strong closer, but he should be vastly underused because of his pyromaniacal setup men.

Minors
Tim Beckham
Jeff Clement
Eric Hosmer
Shaun Marcum
Tyler Matzek
Jennry Mejia
Mike Moustakas
Jarrod Parker
Tony Sanchez
Jacob Turner

This is an excellent area for the Derelicts, and bodes well for their future.  Matzek and Turner look like studs, and Beckham, Hosmer, Mejia, Moustakas, and Sanchez all have good upside.  Marcum is coming off a 2009 lost to Tommy John surgery and will attempt to regain his form.  Only Parker (out for 2010 after Tommy John) and Clement look like they might not reach their potential, but that could be premature.

The Derelicts are pretty much where the Gunslingers currently sit, a weak team with some promise.  The improved offense that Teixeira will bring will be overshadowed by the incendiary pitching staff.  Anything other than a long, unsuccessful season would be a testament to great managing.

2010 Predicted Record: 70-92.

KENSHIN, WATCH ROY, SEE HOW IT'S DONE

Kenshin Kawakami was less than stellar against the Phillies and Roy Halladay, giving up a two-run homer to Jayson Werth and three other hits in three innings.  Halladay, for his part, struck out five in three scoreless innings.  This is pretty much a microcosm of how I expect things to go this year.  We might see this matchup more than once during the season, in fact, with similar results.  I need better pitching, fast.

So, naturally, I'm going to draft a position player with my last pick!  Well, maybe not.  Chris Withrow of the Dodgers is still available.  He had some kind of elbow problem and missed almost all of 2008, then came back had good peripheral numbers in A and AA in 2009.  He's the highest guy left in the Basball Prospectus top 101 prospects.  Ok, I talked myself into it.  Withrow it is.  Another owner immediately e-mailed me that I had taken his pick.

Tuesday, March 09, 2010

SPRING STATS



As promised, here are the first week of Spring Training stats for the Gunslingers.  I should really be despairing more for my pitching than my hitting.



It was nice to see Grant Green get an AB.  I think they sent him back to minor league camp, though.  Aaron Hill is a walk machine this spring so far - more walks than AB.  The peripheral stats for the pitchers actually look pretty good - almost 3:1 K/BB ratio and well over 1.0 K/IP ratio.  Still, definitely too many HR's allowed; the wind must be blowing pretty good this year.

MASSET TWO SHOTS

No draft picks again today. I make my last pick tomorrow, unless someone convinces me otherwise.

Nick Masset got pounded for three earned runs in one inning against the heretofore powerless Royals, including homers by Kila Ka'aihue and Josh Fields.  I was probably the only one paying attention to that, since this game marked the spring debut of Cuban uber-prospect Aroldis Chapman.  Chapman looked good, anyway.

Strikeouts continue to be rung up by Brian Matusz, who collected six K's in two and two-thirds shaky innings against the Twins.  Jose Mijares had another scoreless inning in that game in Sarasota.

I'm starting to get concerned about the collective lack of hitting by the entire Gunslinger roster this spring.  I'd say each of the last three to seven days, I've seen a ton of goose eggs in the hits column.  Yesterday it was Hunter Pence, Carlos Quentin, David Wright, Miguel Cabrera, and Alexei Ramirez all taking the collar.  I'll have to publish a Spring statistical roundup soon.

Once the draft is complete, I'll start publishing a team-by-team analysis of the competition.  Quick take-away: they are almost all better than me.

Monday, March 08, 2010

IT'S OK, IT'S A WET COLD

Rain and temperatures in the 60's washed out most of the Cactus League games yesterday.  What wussies.  Frankly, I think they were just trying to get home early to set up for their Oscar parties.  I'm sure Ozzie Guillen was dying to Tweet about the red carpet.

Over in the Grapefruit Circuit, Andrew Miller failed his latest audition for the #5 starter spot with the Marlins, yielding three earned runs on three hits and two walks in two innings.  Other than that, nothing much of note.  Hunter Pence hit another triple.  He also got a good write-up as the Astros' budding spiritual leader in this morning's San Antonio Express-News.

I have traded away today's scheduled 8th round pick for a 7th in 2011.  I really should work harder at bundling those extra picks into something more useful next year.  I hate making trades, though, because they always seem to backfire.

Sunday, March 07, 2010

YOUNG WHAT'S HIS NAME

In the draft this weekend, the Slingers added Miguel Sano, a 16-year-old shortstop from the Dominican Republic signed by the Minnesota Twins for $3.15 million, and Mike Trout, a 19-year-old CF in the Angels' system.  Sano, as our former commissioner JJ put it, is the ultimate "player to be named later", as he briefly decided to take his mother's maiden name, Jean, before going back to his father's surname, Sano.  Nobody really knows if he is actually 16-years-old, as well.  Eh, whatever.  It's only a 7th round pick.  He's supposed to be the best hitter to come out of the Caribbean in years.  Ought to be a fun ride.

Performance wise, Jose Mijares had a clean inning against the Red Sox, but Kevin Millwood didn't make it out of the first, getting pummeled by the Tigers.  I knew that pick was a mistake.  Aaron Crow fanned three in two scoreless innings, and Ben Sheets staggered through an inning and two-thirds with not too much damage and no reported pain.  Carlos Quentin dragged his aching foot around the bases twice after hitting a pair of homers off Carlos Silva of the (and soon not to be of the) Cubs.  Jonathan Sanchez had a typical line against the D-Backs - 2 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 3 BB, 3 SO.  Keep infuriating and yet tantalizing us, Jonny.

The big injury news is the loss of Russell Martin for 4-6 weeks with a strained groin.  I wonder if I should draft a catcher late just in case.  Chris Snyder is supposed to be healthy, but he'll have to battle Miguel Montero for playing time again.  I hate drafting catchers.  They usually add so little value to the offense that once you get a decent defensive one, you just feel like hanging on to him forever.

Friday, March 05, 2010

WRIGHT IS RIGHT?

I don't have a pick in the draft today (day 12 of 20...even I'm getting sick of it, and the draft is the best part of the league), so we'll look at how the club did in Spring Training yesterday.

Everybody's favorite suddenly powerless poster boy, David Wright, smacked a homer against the Cardinals in a 17-11 Mets win.  He hit it off an NRI named Evan MacLane, though, so I can't get too excited.

Kenshin Kawakami went two scoreless against Pittsburgh.  Again, not a terribly difficult feat, but encouraging.

Love this quote from Hunter Pence, who went double-homer-single in 3 AB:  "I love the game. I had trouble sleeping last night," Pence said, drawing a chuckle from teammate Michael Bourn. "I know everyone will make fun of me, but I was very excited and it feels good to get out and play some baseball and play well."  Maybe that is the Astros' problem.  You claim to love the game and your teammates laugh at you.

Brian Matusz struck out four of the five hitters he faced.  The other one...uh, not so good.  Sean Rodriguez took him deep.  We should see alot of that at Camden Yards this year.

Luke Gregerson had a spotless inning against the Mariners, with one K.

Kosuke Fukudome singled and doubled at HoHoKam Park.  Great name for a ball park.

Why do the Angels have so many guys named F Rodriguez?  They got rid of one, and now they have two more, the other Francisco and Fernando.

I think we may get only our second draft-pick time-out.  The league physician is up, and he may be with a patient.  Come on man, what's more important here?

Thursday, March 04, 2010

SLINGER SAGA



In light of moving this entity of suck to Blog*Spot, I have decided to start writing in it again.  In this incarnation, I will chronicle my underachieving Strat-O-Matic team, the San Antonio Gunslingers.  First, a brief history.  The United States Strat Platoon started in the winter of 1993 on the 16-bit graphical interface of Prodigy, an unbeloved and long since vanished "on-line service", as such dinosaurs were called.  Prodigy, Compuserve, MSN, and AOL were islands of content that could be reached only by telephone modem and only by signing up for an exclusive account.  AOL was probably the flashiest, but it also was the biggest resource hog on your computer, and they were constantly sending you CD's in the mail to get you to sign up.  Compuserve was one of the earliest and had a nice, simple clean Windows interface, but the information content and interactivity with other users was pretty sparse.  MSN was Microsoft's fairly late attempt to get into the game, and was not very well executed.  Prodigy was my service of choice, because of the number and the varied interests of users and for all the ways you could interact with them.  It was also colorful, simple, and easy-to-use and navigate, and relatively cheap.

In 1993, about the time I was starting to date my future wife, I joined an interest group on Prodigy for Strat-O-Matic players.  Strat is a Major League Baseball simulation game that began in the 1960's as a card and dice game, and had evolved by the 1990's into a crude computer game.  I won't go into much detail about Strat itself, which is too broad a topic to cover in a blog post; suffice it to say that it was a routine early-year obsession for me from the age of about 9 to obtain the new player cards for the most recent season and start playing a carefully crafted schedule of games between the best teams, dice roll by dice roll, until a champion was crowned sometime in May.  When the computer game came out in the early 90's, I could pick and choose the games I wanted to play "by hand", as it were, while the computer played the rest automatically.  This was a fundamental change that allowed me to play a much bigger schedule of games, but that took some of the fun out of the whole endeavor.  I didn't "own" the whole process any more, and it seemed to get out of my control, and wasn't as enjoyable.  By 1993, I was looking for a new way to play Strat that would allow me to use the best features of the computer game, but still give that sense of excitement that I had in the early days.  The Prodigy interest group presented the perfect answer: join a league with other players and play by e-mail.

I had heard of play-by-mail leagues throughout my adolescence, but that idea seemed hideously cumbersome.  You would play games against the other players using their mailed instructions, and then mail out the results to the league commissioner.  All this paper would be flying back and forth, and some poor sap would have to tabulate all the results by hand.  I never felt like I was obsessed enough or had enough time to go through all that pain and suffering, and I kept my game-playing to myself.  With Prodigy, however, there was a way to e-mail instructions and game results files and tabulate everything electronically.  It seemed like the wave of the future, and I jumped on enthusiastically.  The other guys in the league were all about my age, early-to-mid 20's, some married, some with kids already, some still single and just out of college or med school (yes, we did, and still do, have a league physician).  Most were originally from the Northeast or had some Yankee ties of some sort.  We had a couple of Californians, a fellow Texan, a Floridian, and even an Alaskan.  The first commissioner was a brash kid named Mike who I believe was still in college, or at least of college age.

There were sixteen original members.  We all spent about a month hashing out the format and original constitution of the league, with Mike going off on long rants why things should be this way or that.  As the process dragged on, I began to think Mike was a little unstable, as did many of the other original members.  A few other of the older, more reasonable guys started taking firmer control of things and eventually we got through the birthing process well enough to schedule the initial draft.  The first draft was serpentine, with each team being assigned a number from 1 to 16, and the picks proceeding from 1 to 16 and then 16 to 1 and so on.  I was number 11.  To this day, I think this number explains a lot about my mediocrity in the league.  It wasn't a high number, where I could get Ken Griffey, Jr., or Randy Johnson, and it wasn't a low number, where I could get two really good players early.  It was somewhere in between, where I could get second-tier star early, and a third-tier star in the second round 10 picks later.  The other problem was, I knew nothing whatsoever about properly evaluating player talent (and I still don't pretty much).  

My first selection was Padres 1B Fred McGriff.  This was supposed to be my Bopper, a guy who could deliver those three-run homers so coveted by the likes of Earl Weaver.  In round 2, I took the Reds' hard-throwing righty, Jose Rijo.  He was my Stopper, a starting pitcher who could stop losing streaks.  In round 3, I took Expos CF Marquis Grissom, my Burner, a leadoff man who could get on base, play the outfield, and steal bases.  In the 4th round, I selected my Closer, Doug Jones, the portly junkballer from my home town team, Houston.  I figured with my Bopper, Stopper, Burner, and Closer, I had established the four main roles that any winning team needs, and the rest of the guys were pretty much filler.  Man, what a moron I was.  This strategy in and of itself wasn't so bad, but the guys I selected were terrible for these roles.  McGriff was a one-dimensional slugger who had just played his age 28 season and was headed for decline, and despite his commercials on ESPN for Tom Emanski's defensive drills, a lousy defensive player.  Jose Rijo wasn't a bad selection, but he had had a huge workload since he was 21, and two years later at 30 his career flamed out spectacularly.  Grissom's OBP of .322 was not high enough for a leadoff hitter.  And then there was Doug Jones...ugh.  He had been a journeyman reliever until he changed leagues in 1992, and his assortment of slop was baffling to National League hitters that year.  It should have been apparent to me that once the hitters adjusted, he would go back to being a glorified batting practice pitcher, which is a terrible occurence for a guy in a high leverage position like closer.

Predictably, with that feckless foursome as my "stars", that first year finished with an embarrassing 72-90 record, good for last place in my division.  Mike the commissioner quit after a couple of months, and the older, wiser Adam took over.  Adam remains one of only four owners I have ever met in person.  Adam gave way to JJ and then Drew (both of whom I have also met).  My turn is probably coming, since I am one of the last remaining original members.  In 1995, we expanded to the 20 teams we still have today.  As for my team, things have never much improved.  My highest winning percentage to date is .549, in 2005.  I have never had a 90-win season, and it's not looking good this year, either.  I have made some really ugly, lopsided trades that have set me back years, and I have never been able to select or acquire a decent starting pitching staff.  My first ever trade occurred in mid 1993, I believe.  I traded Fred McGriff, who I had become disillusioned with, and a promising young reliever, Mike Perez, for Shane Mack and Cal Eldred.  The killer of the deal was that I also gave up my 1st round pick in the next draft.  I really liked Eldred, and felt he could be a solid replacement for Rijo, who was in the process of washing out in Cincinnati when the trade was consummated.  If you recall, Eldred himself had all kinds of arm problems and never did amount to anything after a stellar half-season debut.  Mack was a complete waste, and I no longer had that coveted draft pick, which was a pretty high pick, to help recoup my losses.

I've made some other real bonehead draft picks and trades that spring to mind.  I selected Rick Ankiel when he was a pitching prospect in an early round of one draft.  I got one good MLB season out of him before he went all Nuke LaLoosh on the Mets in the 2000 playoffs and couldn't even hit the bull mascot if there was one.  I traded him for that noted wastoid, Travis Lee, and missed out on his good years as a CF with St. Louis.  I drafted Kosuke Fukudome with the 9th pick in the draft as recently as last season when I could have had Yunel Escobar.  That hasn't turned out well.  I'll just never learn.  I traded Jamie Moyer in 2002 for an extra first round pick, who I turned into K-Rod.  That was OK for a while, but then I re-drafted Moyer last year and they both had awful years in 2009 and now they both suck for me.

Well, that's the sort-of brief history.  I am currently picking 8th in this year's draft after another mediocre season.  Here is my team right now:

Hitters
Abreu, Bobby
Cabrera, Miguel 
Fukudome, Kosuke 
Gonzalez, Adrian 
Hill, Aaron 
Martin, Russell 
Pence, Hunter 
Quentin, Carlos 
Ramirez, Alexei 
Snyder, Chris
Torres, Andres - 2010 6th round draft pick
Uribe, Juan 
Wright, David

Pitchers
Buehrle, Mark
Millwood, Kevin - 2010 2nd round draft pick
Sanchez, Jonathan 
Kawakami, Kenshin 
Moyer, Jamie 
Miller, Andrew 
Matusz, Brian 
Oliver, Darren 
Ramirez, Ramon 
Rodriguez, Francisco 
Masset, Nick  - 2010 3rd round draft pick
Gregerson, Luke  - 2010 4th round draft pick
Mijares, Jose - 2010 5th round draft pick

Prospects
Crow, Aaron
Green, Grant 
Sheets, Ben 
Smoak, Justin 
White, Alex 
Perez, Martin  - 2010 1st round draft pick
Christian Colon  - 2010 4th round draft pick

I have some quality hitters there - Wright, Cabrera, Gonzalez, Hill, Abreu, and Pence.  Quentin has plantar fascitis and may never duplicate his earlier successes.  Alexei Ramirez is a decent SS, but not a star, and Russell Martin has suddenly turned into Jason Kendall after a great start.  Uribe and Fukudome are role players that will have more plate appearances for my team than they should.  Torres is a defensive replacement who clobbers lefties, which should be somewhat helpful.  The overall team defense is mediocre, especially at LF, CF, SS and 3B.  I do have three 1's with Gonzalez, Hill, and Martin.

As for the pitchers, it's such a horror show, I can't bear to look at it, but I will try.  Buehrle is serviceable, and Sanchez has some upside, but Kawakami and Millwood are strictly league-average innings munchers, and Moyer is a mess.  Brian Matusz could end up taking Buehrle's role as my "ace", such as it is.  We'll have to see what Ben Sheets can do in Oakland this year.  I've had Sheets for his whole career, and I've just about had enough of his constant injuries.  I think I've improved the bullpen going forward with Gregerson, Masset, and Mijares, but I always say that and it never seems to happen.  K-Rod might be on his last legs, or he might re-emerge as dominant if the Mets stay healthy this year, although with my history, you should bet on the former.

In the minors, I have high expectations for Justin Smoak and Martin Perez, and I think at least one or two of the other guys (Colon, Crow, Green, and White) will emerge as decent players.  I expect to fill the prospect coffers with my final few picks this year.

The draft is going pretty well for me, I think, although I would be one of the last persons you should ask.  I made a solid pick at #8 with Perez, who held his own at AA at the age of 18 and looks like the next Johan Santana.  I got Millwood to fill a gaping hole at Starting Pitcher, and I have improved the bullpen at least for the time being.  I took a flyer on Colon in the late fourth round.  He's been compared to Derek Jeter in terms of leadership, and he has all the numbers you would want from a college player.  Torres will platoon in CF with Fukudome, who is miserable against lefties.  I have pretty much finished building my 2010 team, and will now focus on either acquiring more prospects or trading for 2011 picks.  2010 looks like another down year because of inconsistent starting pitching.  If Sheets, Matusz, Buehrle, Sanchez and maybe even Millwood and Kawakami have good years, perhaps 2011 will look better.

In future posts, I will finish out the draft, follow my guys in Spring Training, and then detail the 2010 Strat and real seasons.  Gives me something to do, anyway.

Wednesday, March 03, 2010

DON'T READ THIS...AS IF YOU DO ANYWAY

I moved this here blerg to Blog*Spot, I think, and I am testing it out to see if I did in fact move it. So, so very important doings afoot.

Tuesday, January 19, 2010

ISN'T IT IRONIC

Well, now we know that at least 52% of Massachusetts voters have a pre-existing condition of stupidity. Which means they won't even realize why their health insurance policy was cancelled.

Tuesday, January 05, 2010

YEAH, STILL HERE

It's barely awake, but, yes, this thing still has life. Maybe in the new year, I will add some entries to it. Or perhaps not. In any case, I will leave you with our first ever embedded video:



If they have a funnier ad during the Super Bowl, I might just self-immolate with laughter.

Thursday, July 02, 2009

THESE GIRLS ROCK



Well, it was a pretty degrading way to get a sponsor's exemption in the first place.

Tuesday, June 30, 2009

AND SOMEHOW, I KNOW THEY WANT TO

I love Facebook. Now the girls I was too shy to ask out in high school can keep tabs on the girls I was too shy to ask out in college.

Thursday, May 28, 2009

UBUNTU VS WINDOWS 7 - ULTIMATE SMACKDOWN

Yeah, I know you want my take on this. You who never read this.

First, Ubuntu. I love the idea of Ubuntu, but the execution is lacking. The interface is great, installing is great, and the features that come with it are great (OpenOffice, FireFox, a huge library of open source software). Unfortunately, there are three very important things that it can't do for me. One is to recognize and take full advantage of my Asus motherboard with integrated ATI HDMI graphics and sound. When I hook up the Ubuntu PC to my TV, I get no sound. I tried looking for updated drivers, but there were none. There is no version of the ATI Catalyst Control Center that runs on Ubuntu. I can use the alternate speaker output and hook that up to a receiver, but that's not what I wanted. I bought an HDMI motherboard, and I want HDMI, dammit!

Secondly, I can't run Quicken on it. No chance, forget it, na gon do it. Intuit has not signed on to the open source revolution and never will. They have tethered their rope to Microsoft, and that's the end of that. I tried running an old version on one of the many Windows emulators you can download for Ubuntu, but it kept crashing. I gotta have that fresh new feature-rich version of Quicken. Actually, I'm sure I can find a passable alternative in the Ubuntu library, but I'm so used to Quicken and the way it can connect to my bank and download transactions flawlessly that I doubt that anything open source will work as well or as easily.

Thirdly, I am a Strat-O-Matic gamer, and Hal Richman and the incredibly customer-averse boys and girls in Glen Head can't even spell Ubuntu, let alone design a game for it. Windows or Mac are my only options, and why should I spend out the ass for a Mac? I'm not getting an HDMI Mac for under $1,000, while the PC I just bought was $600.

That leaves Windows 7. Wow. Can I repeat that? And more loudly. WOW. Now this is cool. There were absolutely no problems finding the Asus Motherboard drivers during installation and the HDMI worked perfectly the first time. I loaded the ATI Catalyst Control Center from the CD, and it worked fantastically well. I now have 42" of pure Windows 7 satisfaction, baby! If I wanted to run Quicken or Strat, I'm sure I could, although I haven't tried yet. I have those apps running on another Windows PC in my home office right now, and they will probably stay there.

I loaded iTunes and some, er, uh, other software that I use to get movies, and I downloaded a few. I fired the latter up on the new Windows Media Center. The picture and sound were amazing. This is a really nice movie and TV watching system. There is no Boxee for Windows yet, but the one for Ubuntu isn't exactly there yet either, so I'm not missing much. In fact, Boxee for Ubuntu caused my wireless keyboard and mouse to disappear when I tried it.

Probably the best part was when I got MLB.TV running. Come to Jesus! I can now watch the Mets in what is essentially the SNY or WPIX-11 High Def feed. It's virtually indistinguishable from the real thing, aside from some slight pixilation every so often. It'll only take me about 5 years for the computer to pay for itself when you factor the difference between MLB.TV and MLB Extra Innings on cable. Of course, in 5 years, you'll have the option of having MLB.TV beamed directly into your brain, or at least we can hope.

I've been playing around with the rest of Windows 7, and I really like it a lot. It's still Windows, with all those Gatesian annoying quirks, but man is it pretty and fast. You can load little gadgets that have the weather or sports scores, similar to what Ubuntu offers, and personalization is much easier than previous Windows versions. It's completely integrated into the Internet - almost everything you can click takes you to a web site somewhere for help or to download something. The dockable taskbar is way cooler than XP, and I really like the new file explorer. So far, it has run everything I've thrown at it, except for one thing - antivirus and security software. Norton, which is my provider of choice, only has free trial versions that will work with Windows 7, and they expire every two weeks. I glanced at some other options, but I don't want to have multiple subscriptions. I'll just keep uninstalling and installing the trial version until a real version is available. It's a minor inconvenience that I could do without, but at least it is free. This is probably the biggest disappointment so far, and one which Microsoft better get fixed fast, given their horrendous security track record and how entwined Windows 7 is with the web.

Verdict - if you have an HDTV, get a new computer, and get Windows 7. It works with every imaginable kind of hardware, it's super fast and reliable, and Windows Media Center is great. And grab an old laptop or a netbook and run Ubuntu to do your main surfing and e-mail so the viruses can't get you.

Monday, May 18, 2009

WHEN WILL THEY EVER GRADUATE? AND WILL THAT HELP?

Overheard from the guy who spends all day in the hallway on his cell phone counseling his kids at college:

Dropping a class at this point...

All the summer classes are full.

After my first year...

This is what John would do, he'd take the summer and transfer the grade, kna' mean?

It's a long summer, grant you, but it gets two necessary classes out of the way...

You gotta do it, you gotta do it...

It doesn't have to be next summer, but it'll be some summer.

When he gets it done doesn't matter.

Literature probably doesn't matter either way.

He's got six of those.

Any two literatures, doesn't matter.

It's the right thing to do.

Not five weeks of overlap, kna' mean?

"I've seen it, OK, I've seen it, OK."

Same book, same lab, plus what you got, plus what you kept, kna' mean?

"I gotta have it."

If for some reason, the ball isn't going your way, you don't get all six...

It's already been approved.

I know, but so what? So what?

You understand my point, though?

etc.

I hope this kid doesn't need marriage counseling in a few years.

Friday, April 24, 2009

NORTH TO...ZZZZZZ

I just stepped off a red-eye flight from Honolulu to Anchorage, the two most dissimilar cities with regular air service in this or any other possible universe. I'm sitting in the Ted "Free At Last" Stevens International Airport at the Era Aviation gate, which is about as comfortable as getting waterboarded by Henry Rollins. The hard, unforgiving plastic chairs are one thing, but the instrumental music that sounds like the soundtrack to a Kirk Cameron-directed remake of a Sergio Leone movie brings things to a whole other level.

Ha! I just noticed the "Monetize" tab in Blogger. If I had had that back in 2002 when this here web-a-log started, I might have, oh, 27 cents by now. It's a good thing I have an engineering degree. If I had to live off writing, I'd be...well, I probably wouldn't be sitting in a Marquis De Sade-designed airport waiting area in fucking Anchorage. Maybe I should do some rethinking.

The wilds of Kenai await! And that's just the Safeway. Those people in there are crazy.

Sunday, April 19, 2009

MAUKA FRONT BLOGGING

Yeah, they put me facing the mountain this trip. I'm here in Oahu over the weekend, staying until Thursday night. I just got done with a turnaround here, and then I take a 6 hour flight to Anchorage and work another turnaround in Kenai. Finally I get to go home on May 8th, where my wife has something landscaping-related that is as bad as a turnaround planned for me, I'm sure.

Disney is busy building something here, which I can see out my window. It's right where the Pro Bowlers used to practice before Commissar Goodell moved the game to Miami. Apparently, it will be a hotel and condo development to compete with the JW Marriott Ihilani and the Marriott Beach Club. Cool! I hope we get a rate decrease, though somehow I doubt it. I'll definitely have to try it, assuming the rates are similar, and there's no reason they shouldn't be. Mickey don't get no premiums in Hawaii, brah.

We'll be moving into our new building in June. It has a Starbucks. I may be broke (and leaking hazelnut syrup from several orifices) by 2010.

"Little Dorrit" continues on PBS tonight. And I came 4,000 miles to see it!

Monday, January 19, 2009

OCEANFRONT BLOGGING

I am back at the Ihalani for like the 12th time. I now have enough Marriott points to buy a Sony Blu-Ray surround sound system with wireless speakers, but I will probably end up listening to my wife and blowing it on a vacation to the new JW Marriott that they are building two miles from my house. That pretty much sums up my life in a broad stroke. "We don't even have to board the dogs!" Yes, I know, honey, we don't have to board the dogs. Sigh.

The estimable proprietors of this here resort have seen fit to honor me with an ocean view room. This is the best room I've ever had here. I can see the main lagoon and parts of the other ones, plus the pool. If only it was a tad lower, the better to gawk at the wahine, but I shouldn't complain. Maybe I'll go to WalMart and buy some cheap binoculars.

I am still getting over my colorectal whatsis surgery, which still hurts like a mother when certain waste products pass through it. I took the remaining Vicodin from my surgical prescription with me just in case, but I haven't taken any. I'm thinking of going down to Waikiki and seeing what the tourists will pay me for it (and then buying some really good binoculars, perhaps).

Tomorrow my colleague and I undertake the task of loading the world's most confusing software on the control system out here. I'm scheduled for a week, but I am secretly hoping it takes longer now that I am in this room. Whoops! Missed a step, have to start all over! Damn!

Maybe I will post some more. Maybe not. Refresh often! Or don't!